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two channels in driving aggre- gate consumption fluctuations in the US: (i) precautionary savings against un- employment … risk and (ii) MPC heterogeneity. I find that MPC heterogeneity is the dominant channel because a large fraction of …, indicating an MPC puzzle. This is because the likelihood-based estimation favors a low degree of nominal rigidity and responsive …
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This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … behaviors, triggering a fall in aggregate demand and supply. These precautionary behaviors increase the unemployment risk of the … imperfectly insured households, who strengthen precautionary saving. When the feedback loop between unemployment risk and …
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The Spanish economy is currently plagued by a deep recession with very high unemployment. We ask how much of the … unemployment increase in Spain can be traced back to the debt deleveraging needs of Spanish households. We use provincial household … debt and sectoral unemployment data and follow Mian and Sufi (2012) to isolate the effect of household debt on Spanish …
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