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Application of Stationary Wavelet Support Vector Machines for the Prediction of UK Economic Recession and Expansion Periods
Giovanis, Eleftherios - 2013
This paper examines the efficiency of various approaches on the classification and prediction of economic expansion and recession periods in United Kingdom. Four approaches are applied. The first is discrete choice models using Logit and Probit regressions, while the second approach is a Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014039546
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Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - In: Economics letters 157 (2017), pp. 45-49
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847300
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Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791491
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Application of Stationary Wavelet Support Vector Machines for the Prediction of Economic Recessions
Giovanis, Eleftherios - 2014
This paper examines the efficiency of various approaches on the classification and prediction of economic expansion and recession periods in United Kingdom. Four approaches are applied. The first is discrete choice models using Logit and Probit regressions, while the second approach is a Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044012
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Bond risk premia forecasting : a simple approach for extracting macroeconomic information from a panel of indicators
Audrino, Francesco; Corsi, Fulvio; Filipova, Kameliya - In: Econometric reviews 35 (2016) 1/4, pp. 232-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916
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Business forecasting and economic cycles
Karsten, Siegfried G.; Karsten, S. G. - 1990
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519626
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
-cycle states. We show that forecasts for recessions are subject to a large negative systematic forecast error (forecasters … overestimate growth), while forecasts for recoveries are subject to a positive systematic forecast error. Forecasts made for … expansions have, if anything, a small systematic forecast error for large forecast horizons. When we link information about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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An overview of forecasting facing breaks
Castle, Jennifer; Clements, Michael P.; Hendry, David F. - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451503
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Wendepunkte in Finanzmärkten : Prognose und asset allocation
Huber, Claus - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001461424
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Monitoring the economy in real time : trends and gaps in real activity and prices
Hasenzagl, Thomas; Pellegrino, Filippo; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820395