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volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation … for World War II where they support alternative estimates of Kuznets (1952). -- U.S. business cycle ; volatility ; dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796122
Price indices for periods before the Second World War place more weight on less-processed products than do their post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215902
with the highest reliance on credit card borrowing reduced durable consumption by significantly more following the … financial crisis of the fall of 2008. Overall, our estimates show that household leverage growth and dependence on credit card …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156702
aggregate data. Changes in household credit limits explain 40 percent of the differential rise and fall of employment across … gradual, credit shocks greatly slowed the recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910353
The purpose of this lecture is to look beyond the complex events that characterize the global financial and economic crisis, identify the basic mechanisms, and infer the policies needed to resolve the current crisis, as well as the policies needed to reduce the probability of similar events in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160355
The purpose of this lecture is to look beyond the complex events that characterize the global financial and economic crisis, identify the basic mechanisms, and infer the policies needed to resolve the current crisis, as well as the policies needed to reduce the probability of similar events in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211583
Recoveries that occur in the absence of credit growth are often dubbed miracles and named after mythical creatures. Yet … impaired financial intermediation is the culprit. Creditless recoveries are more common after banking crises and credit booms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128396
U.S. banking crisis of the 20th century. Our systemic risk measure captures both the credit risk of an individual bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892160
A large-scale model of the global economy is used to investigate the structural determinants of the Great Moderation and the transition to the Great Recession (1986-2010). Beside the global economy perspective, the model presents the novel feature of a broad range of included financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018832
The financial crises of 2007-2008, caused wide-spread falling output and unemployment, in the affected countries and also globally. The severity of the recession was such that it was called the "Great Recession". As a result of an increase in demand from China and India, at the same time, oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062628