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Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2015
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
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Measuring the effects of monetary policy in the euro area : the role of anticipated policy
Gottschalk, Jan; Höppner, Florian - 2001 - This Version: August 2001
This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane yielding the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538850
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Measuring the effects of monetary policy in the euro area : the role of anticipated policy
Gottschalk, Jan; Höppner, Florian - 2001
This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane which yields the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476356
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News Shocks and the Effects of Monetary Policy
Zhang, Ren - 2019
-lasting effects on output and total factor productivity (TFP). In this paper, I argue that the typical monetary shock has been … confounded with the news shock about future technology. I propose and implement a novel SVAR approach that effectively ``cleans …'' the technology component from the traditional Cholesky monetary shock. With the new identification, I find that a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891083
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Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2018
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about 15%. Using a New Keynesian model, with search and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
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Monetary Policy Communication Shocks and the Macroeconomy
Goodhead, Robert - 2019
Using federal funds futures data, we show the importance of surprise communication as a component of monetary policy for U.S. macro variables, both before and after 2008. While Gürkaynak et al. (2005) stress the importance of monetary policy communication for asset prices, much of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897008
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Policy and business cycle shocks : a structural factor model representation of the US economy
Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 8, pp. 1-21
find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
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Macroeconomic shocks and racial labour market differences in the U.S.
De, Kuhelika; Compton, Ryan A.; Giedeman, Daniel C.; … - 2019
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
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Commodity price shocks and the business cycle : structural evidence for the US
Gubler, Matthias; Hertweck, Matthias S. - 2011 - This version: March 28, 2011
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008065
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Economic policy uncertainty spillovers in booms and busts
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Figueres, Juan … - 2018
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894