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This paper introduces Heckscher-Ohlin trade features into a two-country DSGE model, and studies how productivity shocks propagate through trade in goods. In comparison with standard models, (i) transitory shocks to productivity have permanent effects on country-level aggregate variables; (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113462
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326721
This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of anticipated and unanticipated oil price increases in a small two-country monetary union, which is simultaneously characterized by asymmetric wage adjustments and asymmetric interest rate sensitivities of private absorption. Common external oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127913
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output - the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011202
frictions for business cycle volatility. In our empirical analysis, we demonstrate that stylised facts suggest that countries … with more developed financial systems have lower business cycle volatility. Financial openness has no strong impact on … business cycle volatility, in contrast. In our theoretical analysis, we use a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072512
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003378773
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship … country-specific capital flow volatility and that the impact of these variables has become even more important since the 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
is robust across different estimation methods. Moreover, the Markov switching VAR also indicates that the reaction of … macroeconomic variables to the identified shock based on sign restrictions is regime dependent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199563
This paper analyzes the effects of output volatility shocks and of risk appetite shocks on the dynamics of consumption … in a country's output volatility triggers a wealth transfer to that country, in equilibrium; this raises its consumption … volatility shocks. In a recursive preferences-complete markets framework, volatility and risk appetite shocks account for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970180
This paper analyzes the effects of output volatility shocks and of risk appetite shocks on the dynamics of consumption … in a country's output volatility triggers a wealth transfer to that country, in equilibrium; this raises its consumption … volatility shocks. In a recursive preferences-complete markets framework, volatility and risk appetite shocks account for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011666