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Does time-varying business volatility affect the price setting of firms and thus the transmission of monetary policy into the real economy? To address this question, we estimate from the firm-level micro data of the German IFO Business Climate Survey the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767295
We study the forecasting performance of three alternative large scale approaches using a dataset for Germany that … vector autoregression and model averaging techniques, where aggregation takes place before, during and after the estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357899
The present paper uses German annual data covering the period 1969-2000 to present evidence on the link between aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm predictions of contributions to the theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
shocks and the shock propagation processes. Thus, I conclude that business cycle stabilization in Germany is driven by both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607593
This paper studies the importance of firm-level price markup dynamics for business cycle fluctuations. Using state-of-the-art IO techniques to measure the behavior of markups over the business cycle at the firm level, I find that markups are countercyclical with an average elasticity of -1.1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210491
shocks and the shock propagation processes. Thus, I conclude that business cycle stabilization in Germany is driven by both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214330
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … Germany across two different methods: we conduct a narrative study of media sources and estimate inflation expectations from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
This paper studies the importance of firm-level price markup dynamics for business cycle fluctuations. Using state-of-the-art IO techniques to measure the behavior of markups over the business cycle at the firm level, I find that markups are countercyclical with an average elasticity of -1.1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782627
This study analyzes the sensitivity of US giving to both business cycle fluctuations and trend growth. With tax revenues as a point of reference, US giving constitutes a relatively stable source of revenue. Total giving is characterized by a business cycle volatility which is comparable to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665402