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unemployment in two largest economic regions in the world - the United States (US) and the Euro area (EA). For this purpose we … addition to local effects we find foreign uncertainty shocks influence the Euro area but not the US unemployment. Moreover we …
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Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment … of the 2-year ahead forecast error of the Canadian unemployment rate in periods of slack vs. just 2% during economic … of the latter, lead to a temporary increase in the Canadian unemployment rate. Evidence of asymmetric spillover effects …
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increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
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This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … behaviors, triggering a fall in aggregate demand and supply. These precautionary behaviors increase the unemployment risk of the … imperfectly insured households, who strengthen precautionary saving. When the feedback loop between unemployment risk and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
This paper shows that Livingston Survey measures of unemployment uncertainty are positively correlated with inflation …, that inflation Granger Causes unemployment uncertainty and that shocks to inflation uncertainty or unemployment uncertainty … have similar effects on real GDP growth. This suggests higher unemployment uncertainty is a cost of higher inflation that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177993