Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Capital Markets in the Post-Crisis Environment, Global Interdependence Center and the Bank of Finland Helsinki, Finland, June 6, 2011

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Capital Markets in the Post-Crisis Environment, Global Interdependence Center and the Bank of Finland Helsinki, Finland, June 6, 2011

This paper begins with the observation that the volatility of factor input growth is insufficient to explain the volatility in the growth rate of output, and explores the empirical plausibility of the hypothesis that this fact is due to the presence of productive externalities and increasing...

Development of rational expectations models of the business cycle has been the central issue in macroeconomics over the last 15 years. The postulate that expectations are rational imposes considerable discipline on business cycle analysis. In this essay we review the current literature on...

The Real Business Cycle (RBC) research program has grown spectacularly over the last decade, as its concepts and methods have diffused into mainstream macroeconomics. Yet, there is increasing skepticism that technology shocks are a major source of business fluctuations. This chapter exposits the...