This paper studies the impact of Higher Order Belief (HOB) shocks, representing shifts in agents' beliefs about others' beliefs, on macroeconomic outcomes. The dynamic causal effects of these shocks are identified by leveraging a combination of a proxy-VAR approach and DSGE-based instruments....

This paper studies the impact of Higher Order Belief (HOB) shocks, representing shifts in agents' beliefs about others' beliefs, on macroeconomic outcomes. The dynamic causal effects of these shocks are identified by leveraging a combination of a proxy-VAR approach and DSGE-based instruments....

An estimated dynamic general equilibrium model which features imperfectly competititve households, sticky nominal wages and costly labor input adjustment is shown to be consistent with several stylized aspects of U.S. postwar business cycle dynamics including the positive serial correlation of...

We examine the dual role of labor adjustment costs and staggered wage contracts as endogenous propagation mechanisms. We show that a dynamic general equilibrium model which combines these two features explains the autocorrelation functions of output growth and nominal wage growth, as well as the...