Presentation to the Midwestern States Association of Tax Administrators Conference, St. Louis, MO - Aug. 26, 2002

Presentation at Lambuth University, Jackson, Tenn. - April 4, 2002

Presentation at Lambuth University, Jackson, Tenn. - April 4, 2002

Presentation to the Midwestern States Association of Tax Administrators Conference, St. Louis, MO - Aug. 26, 2002

A speech at the Global Interdependence Center Abroad in Chile Conference, American Chamber of Commerce in Chile Breakfast, Santiago, Chile, March 2, 2007

A speech at the Global Interdependence Center Abroad in Chile Conference, American Chamber of Commerce in Chile Breakfast, Santiago, Chile, March 2, 2007

We explore the influence of city-level business cycle fluctuations on crime in 20 large cities in the United States. Our monthly time series analysis considers seven crimes over an approximately 20-year period: murder, rape, assault, robbery, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. Short-run...

We investigate the global dynamics of RBC models with production externalities. We confirm that purely local analysis does not tell the full story. With externalities smaller than required for local indeterminacy, local analysis shows the steady state to be a saddle, implying a unique...

This comment discusses Harding and Pagan's (2007) article that advocates modeling the NBER business cycle chronology as the outcome of the two-quarter rule. The comment shows that the two-quarter rule does not fare well as a description of the decision-making of the NBER with real-time data...