Summary The paper presents stylized facts of Euroland’s business cycle using aggregated data. The main results are: The determination of turning points in Euroland’s business cycle is not very sensitive to the detrending method used, although the level of the recent output gap depends on it....

The paper presents stylized facts of Euroland's business cycle using aggregated data. The main results are: the determination of turning points in Euroland's business cycle is not very sensitive to the detrending method used, although the level of the recent output gap depends on it. Investment,...

This paper, in its exploratory nature, develops a descriptive empirical analysis which tries to capture the "regularities" underlying the relationship between the economy, fossil energy use and anthropogenic air pollutants at business cycle frequency. The analysis uses as framework the economy...

This paper is an empirical exercise that seeks to reveal the nature of economic fluctuations in the archetypal small open economy of Singapore. We assess the extent to which local business cycles are influenced by their foreign counterparts with regards to cyclicality, co-movement and volatility...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to appraise the transition from bank-based systems to universal banking. Design/methodology/approach – The Wynne Godley and Francis Cripps macroeconomic framework is used to structure the argument. Findings – It is shown that the activity of...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to appraise the transition from bank‐based systems to universal banking. Design/methodology/approach – The Wynne Godley and Francis Cripps macroeconomic framework is used to structure the argument. Findings – It is shown that the activity of...

Este trabajo propone un nuevo procedimiento para estimar el fechado de los cambios de fase (picos y valles) en un ciclo económico de referencia, a partir del fechado de los cambios de fase en los ciclos económicos específicos de un conjunto amplio de indicadores económicos coincidentes. Cada...

Este trabajo proporciona una cronología precisa del ciclo económico de referencia de la economía española. Para ello, se adapta el procedimiento de fechado, que considera la posibilidad de múltiples puntos de cambio en la fase del ciclo, propuesto por Camacho, Gadea y Gómez Loscos (2021)....

This paper describes the methodologies used for constructing a composite leading indicator for the Austrian economy (CLI-AT). First, a selection of those monthly indicators which overall fare best in showing a "steady" leading behaviour with respect to the Austrian business cycle was performed....

We follow the idea of exploiting cross-sectional information to improve recession probability forecasts by aggregating indicator-specific turning point predictions to obtain economy-wide recession probabilities. This stands in contrast to most of the relevant literature, which relies on an...