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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013546173
1930s. We argue that the culprit behind this Great Depression was the collapse of Finnish trade with the Soviet Union … of Soviet-Finnish trade can explain key features of Finland's Great Depression. We also show that Finland's Great … similar trade collapse. However, as a western democracy with developed capital markets and institutions, Finland faced none of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268947
though trade and financial flows do not really increase correlations of business cycles between China and OECD countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148551
This paper examines the decoupling hypothesis for India. We analyse business cycle synchronisation between India and a set of industrial economies, particularly the United States, over the period 1992 to 2008. The evidence suggests that the Indian business cycle exhibits increasing co-movement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365125
We develop a two-sector DSGE model with financial intermediation to investigate the role of news as a driving force of the business cycle. We find that news about future capital quality is a significant source of aggregate fluctuations, accounting for around 37% in output variation in cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325616
In this paper we revisit the issues addressed in Crucini and Kahn (1996) in the light of recent research on the Great Depression. In that paper we had argued that particular features of the Hawley-Smoot tariffs could have provided them with a stronger impact than conventional wisdom had held,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005595882
Recently, the ASEAN+3 countries have taken a number of measures to bolster monetary integration. These include the establishment of the ASEAN+3 Economic Review and Policy Dialogue and the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization (CMIM). More recently, the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572344
We propose the analysis of the dynamics of the standard deviation of business cycles across euro area countries in order to evaluate the patterns of cyclical convergence in the European Monetary Union for the period 1960-2008. We identify significant business cycle divergence taking place in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294823
This paper has two sources: One is my own research in three broad areas: business cycles, economic measurement and social choice. In all of these fields I attempted to apply the basic precepts of the scientific method as it is understood in the natural sciences. I found that my effort at using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295251
This paper has two sources: One is my own research in three broad areas: business cycles, economic measurement and social choice. In all of these fields I attempted to apply the basic precepts of the scientific method as it is understood in the natural sciences. I found that my effort at using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295300