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This paper analyses the short- and long-term effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cross-border portfolio flows between the US and 41 developed and emerging economies over the period January 1992-November 2022. We find that geopolitical uncertainty decreases equity inflows from other countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065292
How does sovereign risk affect investors' behavior? We answer this question using a novel database that combines sovereign default probabilities for 27 developed and emerging markets with monthly data on the portfolios of individual bond mutual funds. We first show that changes in yields do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126135
This paper presents new evidence on international financial market integration using stock analyst earnings forecasts from 37 countries. By examining cash flow and discount rate news co-movements, we find that the financial and economic aspects of global market integration have diverged over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320303
In a two-country portfolio model with leverage constraints, I focus on private assets in order to understand how their behaviour can justify an expected excess return as well as the flight-to-safety observed in the data. The specific goal is to study how much these phenomena are explained by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490157
I develop an open economy portfolio model to study how leveraged investors' wholesale funding affects the international transmission of shocks. Under binding borrowing limits, there is a link between the international investment positions of integrated economies as investors diversify the asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490166
Estimates of the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign varieties are small in macroeconomic data, but substantially larger in disaggregated microeconomic studies. This may be an artifact of heterogeneity. We use disaggregated multilateral trade data to structurally identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012719929
I study the composition of international portfolios under collateral constraints and the implied cross-border transmission of shocks. I develop an international portfolio model with these features, in which leveraged investors seek diversification in both assets and secured liabilities and in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349743
Faced with income fluctuations, countries smooth their consumption by raising savings when income is high, and vice versa. How much of these savings do countries invest at home and abroad? In other words, what are the effects of fluctuations in savings on domestic investment and the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115044
This paper provides an explanation for the observed decline of the exchange rate pass-through into import prices by modeling the effects of financial market integration on the optimal choice of the pricing currency in the context of rigid nominal goods prices. Contrary to previous literature,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010396136
This paper examines the relationship between the composition of exporters' currency pricing portfolio - number and value of product sales in different currencies at a destination - and their success in trade as measured by continuing to their exporting activity. Detailed investigation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478552