Understanding volatility transmissions amongst commodity futures and the stock market is integral for risk management. In this study, we investigate the time-varying volatility spillovers amongst nine major commodity futures and the US S\&P 500 index across three decades. We also analyse the...

We study the links between expectations, fundamentals, and asset returns using the rich empirical setup offered by commodity markets. We find that survey-based expectations predict future fundamentals, but are not significant predictors of future returns. Expectations of returns are correlated...

This paper investigates whether security markets price the effect of social distancing on firms' operations. We document that firms that are more resilient to social distancing significantly outperformed those with lower resilience during the COVID-19 outbreak, even after controlling for the...

Using the pandemic as a laboratory, we show that asset markets assign a time- varying price to firms' disaster risk exposure. In 2020 the cross-section of realized and expected stock returns reflected firms' different exposure to the pandemic, as measured by their vulnerability to social...

In this paper, we present a novel method to extract the risk-neutral probability of default from American put option prices. Under the assumptions of Carr and Wu (2011), we derive a closed form expression for American put options from which the probability of default can be inferred. Our...

We investigate the cross-section of option returns using a model-free approach, by constructing a stochastic discount factor (SDF) that features minimal variance and accounts for frictions. We find that incorporating transaction costs in the form of bid-ask spreads is essential in order to...

We examine the link between retail trading in options and the volatility of the underlying assets. Using Robinhood's introduction of options as a shock to retail trading, we confirm that option volume increased around this event and show that volatility similarly increased for: interlisted US...

The BP Deepwater Horizon drilling rig exploded on April 20, 2010, leading to an unprecedented environmental and financial disaster. This paper details responses in the financial markets for BP securities, including stock, bonds, options, and credit default swaps. Following the disaster BP shares...