In the past year, generative AI, led by Chat GPT by Open AI and Bard, a language experiment by Google, generated tremendous attention amongst the public. Their impact on finance, law and general productivity are difficulty to articulate with words. This paper aims to strengthen the...

Spreads of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) vary significantly in the cross section and over time, but the sources of this variation are not well understood. We document that, in the cross section, MBS spreads adjusted for the prepayment option show a pronounced smile with respect to the...

This paper introduces a benchmark model for financial markets, which is based on the unique characterization of a benchmark portfolio that is chosen to be the growth optimal portfolio. The general structure of risk premia for asset prices and portfolios is derived. Furthermore, the short rate is...

A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...

Does the selection of a specific interest rate model to use for pricing, hedging, and risk-return analysis depend upon whether the user is a buy-side institution or a sell-side dealer bank? Sanjay Nawalkha and Riccardo Rebonato debate this question in this paper and provide some insightful...

We contrast two different asset pricing models, where the pricing kernel either (i) increases in the volatility dimension, reflecting investors' aversion to volatility, or (ii) could be non-monotonic in volatility, reflecting heterogeneity in investors' beliefs. The two models yield opposite...

The objective of this paper is to consider defaultable term structure models in a general setting beyond standard risk-neutral models. Using as numeraire the growth optimal portfolio, defaultable interest rate derivatives are priced under the real-world probability measure. Therefore, the...

This paper examines the effects of liquidity during the 2007-09 crisis, focussing on the senior tranche of the CDX.NA.IG Index and on Moody's AAA Corporate Bond Index. The aim is to understand whether these senior credit indices were discounted below fair value and to what extent this discount...

This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...