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The paper contrasts theories that explain diverse belief by asymmetric private information (in short PI) with theories which postulate agents use subjective heterogenous beliefs (in short HB). We focus on problems where agents forecast aggregates such as profit rate of the Samp;P500 and our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775716
Can prices convey information about the fundamental value of an asset? This paper considers this problem in relation to the dynamic properties of the fundamental (whether it is constant or time-varying) and the structure of information available to agents. Risk-averse traders receive two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828061
In this paper, we study a dynamic Gaussian financial market model in which the traders form higher-order expectations about the fundamental value of a single risky asset. Rational uninformed traders are introduced into an otherwise standard differential information economy to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148628
In this paper, we analyze the conflicts of interest of an informed agent who is responsible for divulging his private information about a company and has a reward function positively dependent on its stock price. We assume that the demand for the stock is subject to shocks that may increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011536
Through extending a standard Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) noisy rational expectations economy by a heterogeneous signal structure with signal-specific differences in uncertainty, we show that price momentum as well as reversal are not intrinsically at odds with rational behavior. Differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952636
We demonstrate that asymmetric information between sellers (loan originators) and purchasers (investors and securities issuers) of commercial mortgages gives rise to a standard “lemons problem”, whereby portfolio lenders use private information to liquidate lower quality loans in CMBS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133403
If investors are differently informed about the payoff of market-traded securities, then the traditional market portfolio is not a relevant benchmark for testing the CAPM. Each investor appraises expected returns and builds his optimal portfolio conditionally on his information. Which proxy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292834
During currency crises, large traders once simultaneously short the asset markets and currency market. We study the large trader's information manipulation in crises by introducing a large trader in an asset market and a currency-attack coordination game with imperfect information. The asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893863
We present a model to study the role of earnings management in explaining the properties of asset prices and stock market participation. We demonstrate that limited market participation can arise endogenously in the presence of earnings management. Our model generates novel predictions on how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098787
Market microstructure and asset pricing both consider the behavior and formation of prices in asset markets. Yet neither literature explicitly recognizes the importance and role of the factors so crucial to the other approach. This survey seeks to join the two literatures by surveying the work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023854