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dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside … same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest. This effect is not driven by linear or downside liquidity risk or … extreme downside return risk and is mainly driven by more recent years. There is no premium for stocks whose liquidity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
the stochastic discount factor and deviates from the standard security market line when beta risk is priced. When … estimating the model on returns and options we find that allowing for beta risk helps explain the expected returns on the low and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899147
volatility terms. We derive theoretically the underlying assets' risk-neutral distributions, and we estimate the parameters of … idiosyncratic volatility risk, which turns out to be significantly different from zero for all the stocks in our sample. We … construct portfolios that only load on the idiosyncratic variance, and we propose a measure of idiosyncratic variance risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056816
beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return … model on equity and option data, we find that beta risk explains expected returns on low- and high-beta stocks, resolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
funds futures data. The uncertainty is highest when it signals a loosening cycle. The uncertainty raises the risk premium in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576374
risk premia that vary substantially over time and significantly forecast crude oil futures and spot returns. Oil futures … aggregate outcomes. However, the option-implied tail risk premia are not spanned by traditional macroeconomic and oil market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798791
The rare disaster hypothesis suggests that the extraordinarily high postwar U.S. equity premium resulted because investors ex ante demanded compensations for unlikely but calamitous risks that they happened not to incur. While convincing in theory, empirical tests of the rare disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491152