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We investigate whether expectations that are not fully rational have the potential to explain the evolution of house prices and the price-to-rent ratio in the United States. First, a Lucas type asset-pricing model solved under rational expectations is used to derive a fundamental value for house...
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-housing consumption each year to eliminate the housing disaster risk. The evaluation of this risk, however, varies considerably across age … negative price effect of disaster risk. …
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explain the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in the U.S. financial markets, and whether they can generate … realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized volatilities. I provide evidence that the jump risk in volatility of long run … consumption growth is a key component of the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in financial markets. Moreover, I …
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