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, size, value, momentum, cashflow volatility, leverage, investment growth, term risk, and default risk. We empirically test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410032
The decomposition of consumption beta into a component driven by assets' cash-flow news and one related to assets … book-to-market portfolios are associated with differences in their cash-flow betas, and thus reflect macroeconomic … addition, the results indicate that the risk premium on equity markets is primarily driven by the exposure of assets' cash-flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132049
firms have lower cash-flow beta and higher discount-rate beta than firms with high leverage. Although cash-flow beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139915
We develop an intertemporal asset pricing model where cash flow news, discount rate news, and their second moments are priced by the market. This model generalizes the market return decomposition framework, showing that intertemporal considerations imply a decomposition of squared market returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901111
minus overvalued) but is not significant in cheap junk minus expensive quality stocks. If cash-flow beta is the source of … the value premium, we would expect a larger cash-flow beta difference between the cheap quality and expensive junk … that the cash flow beta may only spuriously explain the value premium. Or, at least, the cash-flow risk premium estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911648
month-end reporting, even before the quarterly earnings announcement. Such cash-flow news concentrates at the beginning of a … month and affects company announcements, analyst revisions, and stock returns. Using this time variation in cash-flow news …, we show evidence supporting cash-flow news being more persistent than discount-rate news. Individual stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824022
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of independence between expected consumption growth and time-varying volatility, long-run risks models imply constant market prices of risks and often generate counterfactual results about asset return and cash flow predictability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011540
that a value premium arises, as value stocks have higher idiosyncratic cash-flow volatilities, lower average cash flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019887
Using survey forecasts, we find that systematic errors in expectations of long-term inflation and short-term nominal earnings growth are the main driver of prices and return puzzles for bonds and stocks. We demonstrate this by deriving and testing a single necessary and sufficient condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222433
Realized returns comprise (ex-ante) expected returns plus (ex-post) innovations, and consequently both expected returns and returns innovations can be broken down into components reflecting fluctuations in cash flow (CF) and discount rate (DR). I use a present-value model to identify the CF and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061865