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Market risk estimates the uncertainty of future earnings, due to the changes in market conditions. Value at Risk has become the standard measure that financial analysts use to quantify market risk. For estimating risk, the issue is that different ways to estimate volatility can lead to very...
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We study dynamic portfolio choice in a calibrated equilibrium model where value and momentum anomalies arise because capital moves slowly from under- to over-performing market segments. Over short horizons, momentum's Sharpe ratio exceeds value's, the value-momentum correlation is negative, and...
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The asset pricing model with external habit formation predicts that the equity premium depends on consumption changes relative to the habit level, implying a response that varies over the business cycle. We test this implication using a VAR model of the U.S. postwar economy whose time-varying...
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