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Undiversifiable (or systematic risk) has long been an enemy of investors. Many countercyclical strategies have been developed to counter this. However, like all insurance types, these strategies are generally costly to implement, and over time can significantly reduce portfolio returns in long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408803
Introducing extrapolative bias into a standard production-based model with recursive preferences reconciles salient stylized facts about business cycles (low consumption volatility, high investment volatility relative to output) and financial markets (high equity premium, volatile stock returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038191
In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
Modern Portfolio Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis are cornerstone concepts in both academic and professional curricula. In spite of their long history and reputation, the CAPM and its extensions do not yield satisfactory empirical results. We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954957
We find that when measured in terms of dollar-turnover, and once beta-neutralised and Low-Vol neutralised, the Size Effect is alive and well. With a long term t-stat of 5.1, the “Cold-Minus-Hot” (CMH) anomaly is certainly not less significant than other well-known factors such as Value or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901283
The present study examines the influence of investor sentiment on the risk-return relationship in the Brazilian stock market from 2002 to 2015. Using the Consumer Confidence Index as a substitute for the level of investor sentiment, we found that the relationship between conditional variance and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978191
This paper studies the cross-sectional risk-return trade-off in the stock market. A fundamental principle in finance is the positive relation between risk and expected return, whereas recent empirical evidence suggests the opposite. Using several intuitive risk measures, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008098
We present resiliency as a measure of liquidity, and assess its relationship to expected returns. We establish a covariance-based measure, RES, that captures opening period resiliency and, using it, find a significant non-resiliency premium that ranges from 33 to 57 basis points per month. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851808
Existing research has documented cross-sectional seasonality of stock returns—the periodic outperformance of certain stocks during the same calendar months or weekdays. We hypothesize that assets' different sensitivities to investor mood explain these effects and imply other seasonalities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854886
This paper discusses an empirical analysis of the Expected Downside Risk (EDR) based asset-pricing model on Central and Eastern European and Developed Western European markets. The investigated risk measure applies a nonparametric approach that allows getting rid of any assumption on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986565