Abstract In this note we describe the one factor HJM(LLM) model for pricing Mid-Curve Money Market Future Options. The model is based on assuming a lognormal process for the relevant forward money market (“LIBOR”) rates and imbedding it into the general no-arbitrage HJM interest rate...

A convenience yield represents a difference between yield on a safe bond and yield on a synthetic safe bond, constructed by combining a risky bond with a CDS contract. We explain the shapes of eurozone sovereign convenience curves using a model in which arbitrageurs face higher funding costs on...

We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...