We use earnings forecasts from a cross-sectional model to proxy for cash flow expectations and estimate the implied cost of capital (ICC) for a large sample of firms over 1968-2008. The earnings forecasts generated by the cross-sectional model are superior to analysts' forecasts in terms of...

We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is high, analysts' forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings and long-term earnings growth are relatively more optimistic for “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding...

We examine the out-of-sample performance of 240 stock market anomalies enhanced by 49 machine learning algorithms and over 260 individually trained models across an international data sample of nearly 1.9 billion stock-month-anomaly observations from 1980 to 2019. We demonstrate significant...

We decompose book-to-market (BP) ratio into book-to-intrinsic value (BV) ratio and intrinsic value-to-market (VP) ratio to shed further light on the debate of whether accruals and accrual anomaly are associated more with the risk/growth component (BV) or with the mispricing component (VP). Using...

We decompose book-to-market (BP) ratio into book-to-intrinsic value (BV) ratio and intrinsic value-to-market (VP) ratio to shed further light on the debate of whether accruals and accrual anomaly are associated more with the risk/growth component (BV) or with the mispricing component (VP). Using...

This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the informativeness of future news events varies with their content (i.e., bad news and good news are not equally informative). The paper further shows that in such cases (cross) serial...

A principal-components analysis demonstrates that common earnings factors explain a substantial portion of rm-level earnings variation, implying earnings shocks have substantial systematic components and are not almost fully diversifiable as prior literature has concluded. Furthermore, the...

The implied cost of capital (ICC), the internal rate of return that equates speculative stock price to discounted expected future dividends, includes a mispricing-driven component in addition to expected return. The estimated relation of a mispricing-associated factor (X) with ICC is thus a...

Value investing is the age-old investment strategy that involves buying securities that appear cheap relative to some fundamental anchor. For equity investors that anchor is typically a measure of intrinsic value linked to financial statement variables. Recently, there has been much written...

As the proxy for expected return, the implied cost of capital (ICC) is subject to a mispricing-driven measurement error because the price of a stock used to compute ICC can deviate from its intrinsic value. For undervalued stocks, the mispricing-driven measurement error is positive and increases...