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The term “equity premium puzzle” was coined in 1985 by economists Rajnish Mehra and Edward C. Prescott. The equity premium puzzle in considered one of the most significant questions in finance. A number of papers have explored the fundamental questions of why the premium exists and has not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906021
We examine the informational efficiency of market ambiguity in predicting market excess returns and the equity premium internationally. Empirical results show a strong predictive ability of option-implied, and sentiment-based, ambiguity for U.S. stock market returns for up to three years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003524
This chapter focuses on the attitude of investors toward financial gains and losses and their decisions on wealth allocation, and how these changes are subject to behavioral factors. The focal point is the integration of behavioral elements into the classic portfolio optimization. Individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053271
The portfolio separating distribution is sufficient and necessary for a preference-free optimal choice only if the solution is assumed to be constant a priori. The portfolio separating condition is generalized. The new distribution class allowing for correlation uncertainty is defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040169
This study provides a solution of the equity premium puzzle. Questioning the validity of the Arrow-Pratt measure of relative risk aversion for detecting the risk behavior of investors under all conditions, a new tool, that is, the sufficiency factor of the model was developed to analyze the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014265470
In the long run, we are all dead. Nonetheless, when studying the short-run dynamics of economic models, it is crucial to consider boundary conditions that govern long-run, forward-looking behavior, such as transversality conditions. We demonstrate that machine learning (ML) can automatically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324093
Current methods of risk management focus on efficiency and do not provide operational answers to the basic question of how to optimise and balance the two objectives, maximisation of expected income and minimisation of risk. This paper uses the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to derive an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101002
This note develops the solutions of the static portfolio optimization problem in explicit matrix form. Three cases are contemplated and connected, with the derivation of relevant corner solutions: the unconstrained problem in the presence of risky assets only, the constrained one, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496187
We propose a novel one-sector stochastic growth model, where producitivity growth follows a Markov-switching process with two regimes, and where households have generalized recursive smooth ambiguity preferences. The adopted class of preferences permits a three-way separation of risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409446