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"Systematic Downside Risk" (SDR) is defined to characterize this asymmetry in the comovement of betas. This indicator negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
The beta dispersion, which is the spread of betas on a stock market, can be interpreted as a measure of market vulnerability. This study examines the economic idea of the beta dispersion and its application as a market return predictor. Based on the empirical beta dispersion observed in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264452
We examine in this paper the training and test set performance of several equity factor models with a dataset of 20 years of data, 1,200 stocks and 100 factors. First, we examine several models to forecast expected returns, which can be used as baselines for more complex models: linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255242
addition, the results indicate that the risk premium on equity markets is primarily driven by the exposure of assets' cash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132049
The Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) has been the cornerstone of the asset allocation for over 40 years. In the past … decade though, it led in a rather systematic way to bad investments decisions. One of MPT's main assumptions, investor risk … aversion that translates into volatility aversion, biases financial markets toward low volatility / high extreme risk patterns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905661
about estimation risk in FFMs in high dimensions. We investigate whether recent linear and non-linear shrinkage methods help … to reduce the estimation risk in the asset return covariance matrix. Our findings indicate that modest improvements are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949129
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as … “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii … are the only possible explanations of the “anomalies”, but offer statistical models within the rational theory of finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
estimates lead in turn to substantial gains for forecasting various risk measures at horizons ranging from a few days to a few … underestimation of risk during bad times or overestimation of risk during good times. We assess the attainable improvements in VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
investing within the well-known risk-return paradigm. From the viewpoint of ex-ante equity risk premium (ERP), the five factor …-related systematic risk, ii) the exposure to ESG-related systematic risk is significantly priced in the market, and iii) equity funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252157