Grishchenko, Olesya V.; Song, Zhaogang; Zhou, Hao - In: The Journal of finance and data science : JFDS 8 (2022), pp. 255-295
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of … horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by other predictors such as forward rate spread or equity variance risk … long-run risk, economic uncertainty, and inflation non-neutrality. In the model IRVRP is related to short-run risk only …