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We consider fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing arising when the uncertainty model incorporates volatility … such sets when volatility uncertainty is modeled by a stochastic differential equation, driven by Peng's G-Brownian motion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338399
We study the term structure of variance (total risk), systematic and idiosyncratic risk. Consistent with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751173
We develop a real options model in which a firm exposed to seasonal variations in its output price is able to produce output, store it, and sell it later, separating the production and selling decisions. The model suggests that the optimal policy for a firm with low inventory costs is to spread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234498
Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump … arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018782
fifth risk factor based on realized volatility of index returns. Moreover, instead of using data for stocks of a particular …. Proposed extensions include a volatility regime switching mechanism (using dummy variables and the Markov approach) and the … investable equity indices in the period of 2000-2015. Such an approach is proposed to estimate an equity risk premium for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of … horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by other predictors such as forward rate spread or equity variance risk … long-run risk, economic uncertainty, and inflation non-neutrality. In the model IRVRP is related to short-run risk only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
We empirically examine whether investors demand a systemic component of Volatility Risk (VRP-beta) using the stock … find VRP-beta is positively related to the hedging demand of tail risk and negatively associated with the options market … liquidity, but unrelated to the size and volatility of the stock. Our results are robust to alternate specifications of realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238250
Undiversifiable (or systematic risk) has long been an enemy of investors. Many countercyclical strategies have been … technique, founded on the premise of physiological bias and risk-aversion. We take a behavioral discussion in order to … negative betas to the S&P 500, while exhibiting similar risk-adjusted excess returns over both bull and bear markets. Further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408803
In this paper, we intend to explain an empirical finding that distressed stocks delivered anomalously low returns (Campbell et. al. (2008)). We show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on idiosyncratic coskewness betas,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146648
This paper finds that price inefficiency in individual stocks contributes to expected idiosyncratic volatility. If … idiosyncratic risk is priced, greater price inefficiency could be associated with higher expected returns. Consistent with this … price inefficiency is not explained by traditional risk factors, illiquidity, or transactions costs. It is also evidently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076721