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, equity premium, variance risk premium, and risk-neutral entropy) requires a minor deviation from expected utility theory and … expected utility preferences and ambiguity aversion. Within that framework, matching four market moments (the risk-free rate … generate a common mechanism underlying return predictability of the variance risk premium, market crash probability, and market …
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degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …
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Deriving an optimal asset allocation for institutional investors hinges crucially on the quality of inputs used in the optimization. If the mean vector and the covariance matrix are known with certainty, the classical mean-variance optimization of Markowitz (1952) produces optimal portfolios....
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dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
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