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The currency market features a relatively small cross-section and conditional expected returns can be characterized by only a few signals - interest differentials, trend, and mean-reversion. We exploit these properties to construct a conditional projection of the stochastic discount factor onto...
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Recent evidence suggests that younger people update beliefs more in response to aggregate shocks than older people. We embed this generational learning bias in an equilibrium model where agents have recursive preferences and are uncertain about exogenous aggregate dynamics. The departure from...
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