We investigate the relative ability of two measures of the market implied cost of capital to predict aggregate equity market returns. One is Aggregate ICC, which is a weighted average of individual firms' ICC's. The other is ICC calculated using index information (Index ICC). Index ICC predicts...

The same firm characteristics that help explain cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns, such as size, book-to-market and the earnings yield, also help explain cross-sectional variation in returns to trading in option-implied stock return volatility. This empirical phenomenon is...

This paper calibrates a class of jump-diffusion long-run risks (LRR) models to quantify how well they can jointly explain the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in the U.S. financial markets, and whether they can generate realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized...

We study the predictability of equity risk premiums for UK equity indexes, in particular whether stylized facts found for the US stock market also apply to the UK market. We compare the performance of economic and technical indicators with a particular focus on the time-varying nature of...

The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...

This study develops an agent-based computational stock market model in which each trader’s buying and selling decisions are endogenously determined by multiple factors: namely, firm profitability, past stock price movement, and imitation of other traders. Each trader can switch from being a...

In this paper we consider the question of how to improve the efficacy of strategies designed to capture factor premiums in equity markets and, in particular, from the value, quality, low risk and momentum factors. We consider a number of portfolio construction approaches designed to capture...

The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is one of the most important economic and financial hypotheses that have been tested over the past century. Due to many abnormal phenomena and conflicting evidence, otherwise known as anomalies against EMH, some academics have questioned whether EMH is...

This paper examines the empirical performance of a multi-stage growth model for the U.S., U.K., Netherlands stock markets during 1987-2010. This model uses analysts‟ forecasted earnings growth and ex-ante long-term real interest rates and outperforms the simple constant growth model but still...

Using a panel of stock indices of the BRICS countries from 31 December 2019 to 17 October 2020, the nexus between funding liquidity, stock returns and COVID-19 pandemic is examined using the fixed effects model. Results show that funding liquidity and the COVID-19 pandemic interacts positively...