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Exploiting a screen display feature whereby the order of stock display is determined by the stock listing codes, we lever a novel identification strategy and study the impact of attention spillover on stock prices and turnover. We find that stocks with neighbors on the display that experience...
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We uncover significant asymmetric effects of realized jump risks on conditional equity premium. Negative or ``bad'' (positive or ``good'') jumps predict a rising (falling) near-term equity premium. The signed jump risk measures remain statistically significant even when we control for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904660
Interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP), the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates, emerges as a strong predictor of Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970993
Bond returns are time-varying and predictable. What economic forces drive this variation? To answer this long-standing question, we propose a consumption-based model with recursive preferences, long-run risks, and inflation non-neutrality. Our model offers two important insights. First, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012732
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
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