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I study the effects of risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) on optimal portfolios and equilibrium asset prices when investors receive information that is difficult to link to fundamentals. I show that the desire of investors to hedge ambiguity leads to portfolio inertia and excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133587
I study the effects of aversion to risk and ambiguity (uncertainty in the sense of Knight (1921)) on the value of the market portfolio when investors receive public information that they find difficult to link to fundamentals and hence treat as ambiguous. I show that small changes in public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134524
under ambiguity, called Shadow probability theory, a generalization of the Choquet expected utility. In this model … space. Risk and risk attitude, on the other hand, apply to the subordinated space, as in classical expected utility theory … the classical asset pricing theory by incorporating ambiguous probabilities. It proposes a well defined ambiguity premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119880
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
We examine how third party ratings and mandatory benchmark disclosure affect aggregate risk adjustment by retail investors. Morningstar changed its ratings methodology in June 2002. Before the change, the ratings were based on a risk-adjusted performance ranking of all US equity funds and highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907676
and a convex-concave value function reinforces previous applications of narrow framing and cumulative prospect theory to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003970464
Many tests of asset pricing models address only the pricing predictions - but these pricing predictions rest on portfolio choice predictions which seem obviously wrong. This paper suggests a new approach to asset pricing and portfolio choices, based on unobserved heterogeneity. This approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003549745
Many bond portfolio managers argue that bond laddering tends to outperform other bond investment strategies because it reduces both market price risk and reinvestment risk for a bond portfolio in the presence of interest rate uncertainty. Despite the popularity of bond ladders as a strategy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813182
Following Levy and Roll [2010], we posit that the market portfolio is the efficient tangent Markowitz portfolio, i.e., it is mean-variance efficient. We then reverse engineer the expected returns and variance terms with constraints imposed by empirical data on a hierarchy of asset baskets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009611