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We contrast two different asset pricing models, where the pricing kernel either (i) increases in the volatility … dimension, reflecting investors' aversion to volatility, or (ii) could be non-monotonic in volatility, reflecting heterogeneity … in investors' beliefs. The two models yield opposite predictions about volatility tail behavior, whereby the model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115088
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
We model the S&P500 index options dynamics using the CGMY distribution, with independent "up" and "down" return jumps, and diffusive jump intensities. Allowing the up and down parts to be separately parameterised accounts for the dynamic smirk effect, without correlation between returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837432
which idiosyncratic volatility is allowed to be priced. We model the index dynamics' physical distribution as a mean …-reverting stochastic volatility process as in Heston (1993), and the equity returns as single-factor models with stochastic idiosyncratic … volatility terms. We derive theoretically the underlying assets' risk-neutral distributions, and we estimate the parameters of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056816
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
Variance premium is studied under a discrete-time consumption-based equilibrium model, with two stochastic volatility …. The implication of the model is that variance premium term structure contains information about two underlying volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079942
This paper extends the classic factor-based asset pricing model by including network linkages in linear factor models. We assume that the network linkages are exogenously provided. This extension of the model allows a better understanding of the causes of systematic risk and shows that (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011598385
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
. Proposed extensions include a volatility regime switching mechanism (using dummy variables and the Markov approach) and the … fifth risk factor based on realized volatility of index returns. Moreover, instead of using data for stocks of a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730