Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share Exchange over time. Our model relaxes that heroic assumption...

This paper examines the implications of investor expectations for the joint determination of earnings manipulation and asset prices. Three alternative models of investor expectations are studied: constant-gain learning, regime-shifting beliefs, and accounting-information-system (AIS) beliefs. I...

The literature on ‘cash flow' or ‘earnings' beta is theoretically well-motivated in its use of fundamentals, instead of returns, to measure systematic risk. However, empirical measures of earnings beta based on either log-linearizing the return equation or log-linearizing the clean-surplus...

The paper describes the specification, estimation, and testing of an unrestricted structural econometric model design to explain and forecast individual returns of securities listed on the Brazilian stock market. The model's explanatory variables include macroeconomic, fundamental and...

We provide the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are well-populated, but are unreliable outside the...

It is well known that the market-to-book equity ratio and total asset growth are negatively associated with future stock returns. Much less known is that the predictabilities are related through the mispricing channel. We show that the growth-value anomaly is governed by ex-ante total asset...

It is well known that the market-to-book equity ratio and total asset growth are negatively associated with future stock returns. Much less known is that the predictabilities are related through the mispricing channel. We show that the growth-value anomaly is governed by ex-ante total asset...

Earnings announcements present a clear risk to investors and, under rational asset pricing theory, such risk should be consistently priced in stocks. However, we find that stocks with high earnings announcement risk earn significantly higher returns only during months when firms have earnings or...