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Using a CCAPM-based risk-adjustment model, we perform yearly valuations of a large sample of stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ over a thirty-year period. The model differs from standard valuation models in the sense that it adjusts forecasted residual income for risk in the numerator rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003022
The same firm characteristics that help explain cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns, such as size, book-to-market and the earnings yield, also help explain cross-sectional variation in returns to trading in option-implied stock return volatility. This empirical phenomenon is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869
We find value premium in the Chinese stock market using a conventional buy-and-hold approach which longs the portfolio with the highest BM ratio and shorts the one with the lowest BM ratio. Based on the finding, we test a new strategy by combining the value premium effect and technical analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132022
Motivated by the necessity of including BM rather than replacing it by EP in the valuation of a firm, we survey 7 refinements of BM measures, and test their performance in China. BM augmented with R&D and SG&A expense contains more information about the cross-section of stock returns than the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847405
Modern Portfolio Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis are cornerstone concepts in both academic and professional curricula. In spite of their long history and reputation, the CAPM and its extensions do not yield satisfactory empirical results. We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954957
This paper explores an unexamined sentiment channel through which technical analysis can add value. We use a spectrum of technical trading strategies to build a daily market sentiment indicator that is highly correlated with other commonly used sentiment measures. This technical-analysis-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235811
We find that when measured in terms of dollar-turnover, and once beta-neutralised and Low-Vol neutralised, the Size Effect is alive and well. With a long term t-stat of 5.1, the “Cold-Minus-Hot” (CMH) anomaly is certainly not less significant than other well-known factors such as Value or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901283
The present study examines the influence of investor sentiment on the risk-return relationship in the Brazilian stock market from 2002 to 2015. Using the Consumer Confidence Index as a substitute for the level of investor sentiment, we found that the relationship between conditional variance and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978191
This paper aims to examine the relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and stock returns with full-sample and conditional alpha sub-samples in Vietnam stock market covering the period from January 2008 to December 2018. We test the IVOL effect on stock returns employing Fama-Macbeth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219258
Certain corporate transactions (eg. insider purchases and buyback announcements) are known to be robust predictors of firm-level returns. However, I empirically show equity analysts largely ignore such informative, yet subtle, signals of stocks they cover. A trading strategy that follows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090296