Showing 1 - 10 of 3,209
Speculation, in the spirit of Harrison and Kreps [1978], is introduced into a standard real business cycle model … generated by speculation for any model of beliefs - a factor of 1.5. A calibration based on diagnostic beliefs amplifies hours …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012145301
three months. The results support the speculative nature of beta and the multiplier effect of speculation on demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855747
We develop a model of monetary exchange in over-the-counter markets to study the effects of monetary policy on asset prices and standard measures of financial liquidity, such as bid-ask spreads, trade volume, and the incentives of dealers to supply immediacy, both by participating in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054305
timing bubbles and crashes of individual stocks. Our findings imply that sophisticated investors may not always trade against … rational speculative bubbles, not entirely from sentiment-driven overpricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931108
This paper develops a new approach to explain why risk factors constructed from option returns are priced in the stock market. We decompose an option- based factor into three main components and identify the one responsible for the beta-return relationship. Applying this method to the bear risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305706
We show how the timing of financial innovation might have contributed to the mortgage bubble and then to the crash of 2007-2009. We show why tranching and leverage first raised asset prices and why CDS lowered them afterwards. This may seem puzzling, since it implies that creating a derivative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121404
We show how the timing of financial innovation might have contributed to the mortgage boom and then to the bust of 2007-2009. We study the effect of leverage, tranching, securitization and CDS on asset prices in a general equilibrium model with collateral. We show why tranching and leverage tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014180051
Endogenous movements in the wealth distribution can generate asset price booms in which financial intermediaries increasingly engage in moral hazard and originate low-quality assets that are excessively exposed to aggregate risk. Central to the mechanism is a pecuniary externality whereby buyers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900330
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256956
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214