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The Black-Litterman Model : The Definition of Views Based On Volatility Forecasts
Duqi, Andi - 2016
formulate a volatility forecast of returns used as an input for determining some subjective views to be included in the Black …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998423
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Financial crises, macroeconomic variables, and long-run risk : an econometric analysis of stock returns correlations (2000 to 2019)
Tronzano, Marco - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 3/127, pp. 1-25
This paper focuses on four major aggregate stock price indexes (SP 500, Stock Europe 600, Nikkei 225, Shanghai Composite) and two "safe-haven" assets (Gold, Swiss Franc), and explores their return co-movements during the last two decades. Significant contagion effects on stock markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486245
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Stock Market Volatility and Mathematical Expectations
James, Robert G. - 2019
It is generally believed that excessive stock market volatility reflects non-mathematical market expectations that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862894
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Back to the future betas : empirical asset pricing of US and Southeast Asian markets
French, Jordan - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 4 (2016) 3, pp. 1-13
The study adds an empirical outlook on the predicting power of using data from the future to predict future returns. The crux of the traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) methodology is using historical data in the calculation of the beta coefficient. This study instead uses a battery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526799
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Jump-diffusion long-run risks models, variance risk premium and volatility dynamics
Jin, Jianjian - 2013
realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized volatilities. I provide evidence that the jump risk in volatility of long run … of the VIX or realized stock volatility. In contrast, a jump-in-volatility LRR model generates a smaller variance risk … premium but better fits the VIX and the realized stock volatility dynamics. Finally, jump-in-volatility models generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734341
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Fundamentals unknown : momentum, mean-reversion and price-to-earnings trading in an artificial stock market
Schasfoort, Joeri; Stockermans, Christopher - 2017
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
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Forecasting with CAPM
Le, Thu - 2016
Capital asset pricing model is a popular formula using to calculate asset prices. This research looks at the sample forecasting of three CAPM constant beta model from 2005 to 2014. This research is going to look at the capabilities of CAPM by using the past varying. Five US sectors, five ASEAN...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980849
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Consumption-Based Equity Valuation
Bach, Christian - 2016
Using a CCAPM-based risk-adjustment model, we perform yearly valuations of a large sample of stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ over a thirty-year period. The model differs from standard valuation models in the sense that it adjusts forecasted residual income for risk in the numerator rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003022
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Covariance forecasting in equity markets
Symitsi, Efthymia; Symeonidis, Lazaros; Kourtis, Apostolos - In: Journal of banking & finance 96 (2018), pp. 153-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967197
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A Practitioner’s Guide to the CAPM : An Empirical Study
French, Jordan - 2018
The most popular method of calculating asset prices is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What is the appropriate amount of years to use in the estimation and which variation of the capital asset pricing beta provides the best results? This research looks at the out of sample forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907773