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This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the informativeness of future news events varies with their content (i.e., bad news and good news are not equally informative). The paper further shows that in such cases (cross) serial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119323
Earnings announcements present a clear risk to investors and, under rational asset pricing theory, such risk should be consistently priced in stocks. However, we find that stocks with high earnings announcement risk earn significantly higher returns only during months when firms have earnings or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237378
This paper studies the implications of disclosure repetitiveness on firm performance, information processing costs, and future stock returns. I propose a compression-based method to measure disclosure repetitiveness, which is assumption-free with respect to the underlying language models. I then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313217
A principal-components analysis demonstrates that common earnings factors explain a substantial portion of rm-level earnings variation, implying earnings shocks have substantial systematic components and are not almost fully diversifiable as prior literature has concluded. Furthermore, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121217
The literature on ‘cash flow' or ‘earnings' beta is theoretically well-motivated in its use of fundamentals, instead of returns, to measure systematic risk. However, empirical measures of earnings beta based on either log-linearizing the return equation or log-linearizing the clean-surplus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832530
Using high frequency data, we develop an event study method to test for level shifts in beta and measure abnormal returns for events that produce such level shifts. Using this method, we estimate abnormal returns for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) announcement and find that its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938344
Using high frequency data, we develop an event study method to test for level shifts in beta and measure abnormal returns for events that produce such level shifts. Using this method, we estimate abnormal returns for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) announcement and find that its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016622
Using a news-based gauge of geopolitical risk, we study its role for asset pricing in global emerging markets. We find that changes in risk positively predict future stock returns. The countries with the highest increase in geopolitical uncertainty outperform their counterparts with the lowest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352071
This paper examines the time-series predictability of aggregate stock returns in 20 emerging markets. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115711
We decompose book-to-market (BP) ratio into book-to-intrinsic value (BV) ratio and intrinsic value-to-market (VP) ratio to shed further light on the debate of whether accruals and accrual anomaly are associated more with the risk/growth component (BV) or with the mispricing component (VP). Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132004