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Despite considerable empirical evidence reporting a negative relationship between net share issuance and subsequent returns, it remains unresolved whether this anomaly is explained by risk or investor irrationality. This paper examines the net share issuance anomaly using seasoned equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865741
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with … dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide … the first description of the cross-section of risk premia on short-maturity dividend claims. My data on risk premia for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
In this paper, we derive an intertemporal dividend-surprise-augmented asset-pricing model and show that the expected … risk premium compensates for stock returns’ exposure to (i) the market-wide dividend-surprise hedge portfolio based on … dividend yield surprise and volatilities, in addition to (ii) the excess market return without dividend yield (as in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349727
Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741
The basic paradigm of asset pricing is in vibrant flux. The purely rational approach is being subsumed by a broader approach based upon the psychology of investors. In this approach, security expected returns are determined by both risk and misvaluation. This survey sketches a framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918745
The q-factor model shows strong explanatory power and largely summarizes the cross section of average stock returns. In particular, the q-factor model fully subsumes the Fama-French (2018) 6-factor model in head-to-head factor spanning tests. The q-factor model is an empirical implementation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168924
We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our central insight is that optimal investment is an important driving force of these anomalies. The model simultaneously reproduces procyclical equity issuance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149934
I review the empirical literature on word of mouth (WOM) among investors. I begin with an outline of the empirical challenges that WOM research faces and possible strategies to overcome those challenges. I then discuss recent studies on WOM among retail and institutional investors. The research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406015
Embedding disasters into a general equilibrium production economy with heterogeneous firms induces strong nonlinearity in the pricing kernel, helping explain the empirical failure of the (consumption) CAPM. Our single-factor model reproduces the failure of the CAPM in explaining the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531874
I suggest a characteristic-based covariance model that directly links the predetermined fi rm characteristics to time-varying covariance risk. Using a large cross section of individual stock-level data, I parsimoniously estimate both conditional expected returns and conditional covariances as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128431