This paper is an empirical investigation into the role of credit history in determining the spread on sovereign bank loans. It employs an error-in-variables approach used in rational-expectations-macro-econometrics to set up a structural model that links sovereign loan spreads to realized...

This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...

Should capital cost calculation be based on a global or local market benchmark? The December 2000 redefinition of the global MSCI equity index was a natural experiment addressing this question. It is argued that this event triggered a portfolio shift (by index funds) large enough to affect the...

This paper examines the time-series predictability of aggregate stock returns in 20 emerging markets. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing...

Global asset pricing models have failed to capture the cross section of country equity returns. Emerging markets display robust positive pricing errors and country-level characteristics play a role in pricing international equities. This paper offers a risk-based explanation for such asset...

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) predicts a positive relation between risk and return, but empirical studies find the actual relation to be flat, or even negative. This paper provides a broad overview of explanations for this ‘volatility effect' that have been proposed in different...

This paper shows that momentum trading fails to generate significant profits beyond the one-month holding period on the Warsaw Stock Exchange over the years 2002-2011. Size and value strategies are efficacious but have varying magnitudes over time: Size premium diminishes in the second...

We show that exploitable lead-lag relations of the order of a few hundred milliseconds exist in the three pairings between the S&P 500, FTSE 100, and DAX futures contracts. These relations exhibit clear intra-daily patterns, particularly around the US open, the European close, and the...

We test the Fama-French three-factor model for a large international data set using an alternative proxy for expected returns - the implied cost of capital (ICC). The implied risk premiums of the three factors are all highly significant. Also, the cross-country variation of each of the three...

The paper investigates value and momentum factors in 23 developed international stock markets. We find that typically value and momentum premia are smaller and more negatively correlated for large market capitalization stocks relative to small. Momentum factors are more highly correlated...