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We examine the implications of short-run and long-run consumption risks on the momentum and long-term contrarian profits and the value premium in a unified economic framework. By introducing time-varying firm cash flow exposures to the short-run and long-run shocks in consumption growth, we find...
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We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is high, analysts' forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings and long-term earnings growth are relatively more optimistic for “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding...
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the cross-sectional variation in returns, even controlling for return risk. This suggests earnings performance is an … underlying source of priced risk. Our evidence that the information sets of returns and earnings are jointly determined implies … cash-flow risk and return risk are not fully separable, and raises the possibility that it is the common variation of …
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