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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967197
The study adds an empirical outlook on the predicting power of using data from the future to predict future returns. The crux of the traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) methodology is using historical data in the calculation of the beta coefficient. This study instead uses a battery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526799
formulate a volatility forecast of returns used as an input for determining some subjective views to be included in the Black …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998423
Analysis with high frequency returns has become a core part of modern financial econometrics. Particularly in the measurement and forecasting of variance, covariance, correlation and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) beta. This paper studies CAPM beta measurement and forecasting with high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848006
volatility risk and oil price risk. I refer to this effect as the `risk' effect on stock returns. Independent of effects on risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903916
Asset returns change with fundamentals and other factors, such as technical information and sentiment over time. In modeling time-varying expected returns, this article focuses on the out-of-sample predictability of the aggregate stock market return via extensions of the conventional predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322523
Capital asset pricing model is a popular formula using to calculate asset prices. This research looks at the sample forecasting of three CAPM constant beta model from 2005 to 2014. This research is going to look at the capabilities of CAPM by using the past varying. Five US sectors, five ASEAN...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980849
This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …-section. Buying stocks with shorter memory and selling stocks with longer memory in volatility generates significant excess returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708
It is generally believed that excessive stock market volatility reflects non-mathematical market expectations that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862894
This paper presents presents presents a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregression (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) model to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine various relations between stock returns and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764