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We use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to evaluate the robustness of determinants of economic growth in a new dataset of 255 European regions in the 1995-2005 period. We use three different specifications based on (1) the cross-section of regions, (2) the cross-section of regions with country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293379
This paper challenges the conventional view according to which disinflations in LAC-even from low and moderate peaks-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation inertia when measuring costs of disinflations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293509
Jean Pisani-Ferry's note was prepared for the European Parliament-National Parliaments Debate on How to Raise Growth in the Euro Area? in Brussels.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293549
The European Union growth agenda has become even more pressing because growth is needed to support public and private sector deleveraging, reduce the fragility of the banking sector, counter the falling behind of southern European countries and prove that Europe is still a worthwhile place to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293558
- Data from 135 countries covering five decades suggests that creditless recoveries, in which the stock of real credit does not return to the pre-crisis level for three years after the GDP trough, are not rare and are characterised by remarkable real GDP growth rates: 4.7 percent per year in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293559
Recent years have seen a growing literature on the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) that resorts in a large part to cointegration techniques. The EKC literature has failed to acknowledge that such regressions involve unit root nonstationary regressors and their integer powers (e.g. GDP and GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294039
: Gibt es dieses Wirtschaftswachstum tatsächlich oder handelt es sich um eine statistische Fiktion? Wenn die Wirtschaft …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295176
Williamson (1965) argued that catching up countries experiencing strong national growth tend also to see a widening in regional disparities, whereas in more developed economies strong national growth and falling regional disparities could go hand in hand. We find some evidence of a trade-off...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295547
Declining inflation rates might have negative consequences for tax revenues. Phenomena like the inflationary bracket creep in a progressive income tax system do not work any longer. With this background the paper analyzes the extent of fiscal drag for OECD countries since 1965. Some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297682
The paper intends to contribute to a better understanding of the interactions between criminality, economic performance and social cohesion. We try to achieve this aim by evaluating the existing economic and criminological research and by carrying out own empirical investigation on the basis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297689