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I explore empirically the interactions between international trade and stock markets. A simple "Lucas-tree" two-country, two-good, free-trade model with complete asset markets predicts that stock markets forecast trade flows and that stock markets react immediately and fully to news about...
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In this paper, we show, from the consumer's budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income should predict both stock returns and government bond yields. We use data for several OECD countries and find that when agents expect...
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This book provides you with a comprehensive overview about what institutional investors do, how they do it, and when and where they do it; it is about the production of investment returns in the global economy. Being a book about the production process, you learn about key issues found in the...
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