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determinant of private consumption is analyzed, namely, by the consideration of wealth effects. It is also analyzed the potential … wealth effects associated to direct property are about 3.5 times superior to those associated to indirect property. Short … in income and in wealth and that the adjustment to long-run component is very slow, which constitutes an indicator that …
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This paper introduces a novel consumption-based variable, cyclical consumption, and examines its predictive properties for stock returns. Future expected stock returns are high (low) when aggregate consumption falls (rises) relative to its trend and marginal utility from current consumption is...
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