Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....

Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...

This study analyzes the magnitude of the US monetary policy spillover on the Indonesian local currency government bond yield, particularly when the Federal Reserve (Fed) implemented the quantitative easing (QE), tapering off, Fed fund rate (FFR) normalization, and quantitative tightening over...