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Understanding the Stock Return-Inflation Nexus is a continuing concern among scholars. The main goal of the current study was to critically examine the view that the relation between stock return and inflation is potentially asymmetric. To capture the possibility of dynamic nonlinearity and, in...
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In this paper, I identify the long-run risks (LRR) in the frequency domain, and further estimate the macro (consumption) risk premia in different frequency ranges. To achieve the identification, I employ the long-run projections and the associated inference procedure for I(0) process developed...
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responsible for subsequent swings in the growth rate of consumer spending. We show how simple economic theory is used to motivate …
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We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618