A high growth rate in labor hours per worker signals low future stock market returns and high future hiring. In the presence of an increase in the number of labor hours per worker, hiring becomes less responsive to the future discount rate. The growth rate in the number of labor hours per worker...

To counteract aging populations, statutory pay-as-you-go pension systems are subject to fundamental reforms in many Western societies. Starting with cohort 1937, Germany introduced permanent pension deductions for early retirement. This paper examines the evolution of the profitability of...

"The NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health provides summaries of publications like this. You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email. While media reports predicted substantial changes in labor supply behavior due to the sharp decline in the value of the stock market in...