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Tse (1998) proposes a model which combines the fractionally integrated GARCH formulation of Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) with the asymmetric power ARCH specification of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993). This paper analyzes the applicability of a multivariate constant conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747371
We consider the problem of testing for an omitted multiplicative long-term component in a simple GARCH model. Under the alternative there is a two-component model with a short-term GARCH component that fluctuates around a smoothly time-varying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937125
We investigate the question whether macroeconomic variables contain information about future stock volatility beyond that contained in past volatility. We show that forecasts of GDP and industrial production growth from the Federal Reserve's Survey of Professional Forecasters predict volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917967
We consider the problem of testing for an omitted multiplicative long-term component in GARCH-type models. Under the alternative, there is a two-component model with a short-term GARCH component that fluctuates around a smoothly time-varying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795900
We investigate the question of whether macroeconomic variables contain information about future stock volatility beyond that contained in past volatility. We show that forecasts of GDP growth from the Federal Reserve's Survey of Professional Forecasters predict volatility in a cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914124
We consider the problem of testing for an omitted multiplicative long-term component in GARCH-type models. Under the alternative there is a two-component model with a short-term GARCH component that fluctuates around a smoothly time-varying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014430971