I investigate the possibility of estimating expected return on a stock from a linear equation with known coefficients using only risk-neutral variance of return and reach a negative conclusion. The formula is not viable because: (i) its coefficients are indeterminate (unknown) and are not...

In imperfect capital markets, an entrepreneur has to invest substantial personal funds to start a private firm and is forced to bear large firm-specific risk. Furthermore, if the entrepreneur is risk averse, one would expect the private equity to earn a premium for idiosyncratic risk. In this...

We examine the connection between tail risk — as measured in Kelly and Jiang (2014) — and the cross-section of expected returns. In conditional predictive regression systems and vector-autoregressions of the market portfolio and the long- and shoresides of the Fama-French factor portfolios,...