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We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
This paper treats the risk-averse optimal portfolio problem with consumption in continuous time for a stochastic-jump-volatility, jump-diffusion (SJVJD) model of the underlying risky asset and the volatility. The new developments are the use of the SJVJD model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123110
The paper proposes an elementary agent-based asset pricing model that, invoking the two trader types of fundamentalists and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise to a macroscopic adjustment equation for the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784945
This paper examines the impact of earnings announcements and earnings forecast revisions on stock returns across markets with different levels of maturity. In each market, the objects of interest are the effects of backward-looking earnings announcement information and forward-looking earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138780
This study proposes and validates “other information” in analysts' forecasts as a legitimate proxy for future cash flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains information about fundamentals beyond that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075116
This paper uses the global systemic shock associated with the outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 to assess the risk-return relationship in the cross-section of real estate equities internationally. I construct a global COVID-19 risk factor to capture the risk exposure of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834293
Several influential studies have concluded that earnings surprises just to the right or to the left of a hypothesized bright line produce distinct price reactions compared to the surrounding earnings surprises because they convey special meaning. In this study, we examine whether previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969623
We explore the possibility that overnight returns can serve as a measure of firm-specific investor sentiment by analyzing whether they exhibit characteristics expected of a sentiment measure. First, we document short-term persistence in overnight returns, consistent with existing evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856362
Before shares of a company are sold to the general public on a security exchange for the first time, regulatory publication requirements force U.S. firms to file an initial public offering prospectus. While accounting information in IPO filings are closely studied by investors and analysts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046950